The dollar exchange rate in 2019 would be in the range of between 30 and 40 USD.
This commentary, ГолосUA said political analyst Andrei Zolotarev.
“I think the dollar in 2019 will go for 30 USD and will be in the range of between 30 and 40 USD. Economic prerequisites in order to hold it, no,” – said Alexander Zolotarev.
According to him, do not trust the forecast of the International monetary Fund (IMF) about the dollar.
“The IMF periodically adjusts its forecasts. For example, the Fund has lowered its forecasts for economic growth. How do we keep the course if we have an imbalance of exports and imports. We buy more than we sell. Accordingly, we will need to print more hryvnia in order to take the issue due to which the national Bank will try to keep the national currency rate. If you look at the forecasts by eminent economists, who after the Maidan promised rapid economic growth, but today they keep quiet and do not remember about their forecasts of four years ago,” said Alexander Zolotarev.
According to him, any prerequisites to the situation on the currency market were stable or started to improve, at the moment no.
“I do not exclude that we will see the collapse of the hryvnia, because the budget has a number of unrealizable and unrealistic articles. In particular, privatization. The budget will fail, and, accordingly, you will need to print hryvnia. This happens not for the first time. Take the IMF, as a dogma is not necessary”, – summed A. Zolotarev.
We will remind, the international monetary Fund has estimated that in Ukraine the average annual exchange rate by the end of 2018 will be for 27, 07 UAH per dollar, and in 2019 – of 28.65 USD per dollar. This is referred to a large study “world economic Outlook”.